New research reveals drop in prices in London’s prime postcodes

The research by Benham & Reeves suggests transactions have dipped and prices have dropped

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New research by the lettings agents Benham and Reeves has suggested that prices have dropped in London’s prime postcodes.

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The research, which analysed data from the Land Registry, studied the change in market movement to see how it has performed in the first six months of this year compared to the same period last year.

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According to Benham and Reeves, the research showed that:

  • The number of prime London transactions in the first six months of this year has dipped by -7% when compared to the same period the previous year
  • The average sold price being secured by high-end sellers in the first half of this year sits at £3.9m, a -16% drop year-on-year.
  • The highest sold prices so far this year has been the W1J postcode in Mayfair with properties selling for an average of £11.5m.
  • Nearby W1K is also amongst the highest at £8.7m, while W9 covering parts of Maida Vale comes in third at £5.9m.
  • W1K has also seen the largest increase in sold prices year on year, up 84%.
  • When it comes to transactions, W8 covering much of Kensington is the most in-demand with a total of 77 transactions in the first six months of the year.
  • SW3 in Chelsea is the next hottest spot for prime London homebuyers with a total of 64 transactions in the first half of 2019, followed by W11 in Kensington (56), NW3 in Hampstead (56) and W2 in Bayswater (48).
  • N5 in Highbury has seen the biggest change in transactions, up by 200% year on year, albeit due to a relatively low number of sales transacting.
  • Nearby N7 in Islington, and W1S covering parts of Mayfair have seen transactions increase by 100%, while SW19 and N2 have seen the next largest increases at 89% and 78% respectively.

Marc von Grundherr, Director of Benham and Reeves, commented on the research, saying: “We’ve seen the top end of the market suffer due to the implementation of new stamp duty penalties for those buying a second home or buy-to-let investment. When you couple this with the political uncertainty that is currently plaguing the market, is it any wonder that transactions have fallen?

“However, the prime market has always been about quality over quantity and at the very highest rungs we may only be seeing a few transactions every six months, but these levels are building on this time last year. This demonstrates the underlying confidence that remains in the London market when even some of the highest house price transactions are taking place despite wider influences.

“The current climate also represents a great opportunity for foreign investors and while many domestic buyers are sitting on their hands, we’re seeing a consistent interest from investors across Asia and beyond, who recognize now is a very good time to buy.

“The drop we’ve seen in asking prices in many areas is enough to off-set the additional stamp duty costs and with London remaining the pinnacle of ownership for many foreign investors, why wouldn’t you build it out your portfolio discounted cost?

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“With the current political unrest in Hong Kong, we’re also seeing a particular increase in the number of investors from the region, who are deciding to pull their money out now and are looking to the capital as a ‘safe haven’, This speaks volumes about the current confidence of investing in the capital despite our own current political turmoil and bodes very well for life after Brexit.”Rearo